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I really like..

How this team is trending. We can play good defense and that might just be what we hang our hats on and our identity. If we would have hit our average from 3 this game we would have won by 30.

My hope is we just saved all of our shot making power for next game. We will need to lock up defensively but will also need a lot more of those shots to fall in order to have a chance at Iowa State!

HCLL biggest portal player test next season

HCLL has done a great job at doing maybe the most important thing for a college football program especially in the era of NIL, and that is building a culture. Every recruit and current player talks about it. KU has had SO FEW tranfers leaving KU. JK has said many times how HCLL takes care of his current players.

KU football is not trying to replace 15 or 20 transfers who are LEAVING the program. HCLL is replacing over 20 players who are graduating and many of them being starters for multiple years and another coach's recruits. How will HCLL do with a new OC & DC and 20+ incoming transfers who are expected to make an impact right away? Will he hit on a majority of transfers? Will the team show improvement throughout the season? Can HCLL put together all these new players & coaches and succeed? It will be HCLL's biggest test as a KU coach, I believe.

KU Offensive Comparison Grimes/Kotelnicki: Intermediate Passing

I’ve spent a significant portion of the last few weeks trying to go through data to help explain the differences between KU’s offense under Kotelnicki and Grimes. I know that’s something people have been talking about and trying to understand for months.

I have realized that there’s no way to put everything in one thread without making people confused…there’s just too much data. I love this stuff and it took me a long time just to understand what I was seeing. What I’m going to do instead is focus on one specific piece or group of pieces at a time in a thread and then create a new thread for different data.

Before I jump in, there are some things to get out of the way first.

1) Based on everything I can see, contrary to popular Slant belief, Kotelnicki and Grimes did run the same basic playbook. There were some things added/removed and some things were emphasized/deemphasized…but it appears to be the same. There are just too many random data points that are the same/comparable for it to not be.

I compared Grimes data at Baylor to see if there were similarities or comparable elements and there just weren’t. Conversely, I looked at Penn St’s data and it’s more similar to KU 2022 and 2023 than PSU 2022 or 2023…which stands to reason.

2). Once again, contrary to Slant belief, Grimes wasn’t bad. I don’t think he was as good of a fit as Leipold had hoped he would’ve been and I’m not sad that he’s going to be at Wisconsin. I do think that there was a lot of good in the offense in 2024, I just don’t think he ever really got a good feel on how to run KU’s offense as effectively as it could be run. I actually think he will do reasonably well in Wisconsin.

I will post below this one just to keep it clean. I will present the data, what it means, and the impact the difference had. Some of these threads will build off of each other so I will link previous threads as I go.

Rotation going forward

Seven are set : HD, Juan, KJ, Mayo, Moore, Flory, and Griffen

Next two: Coit and Storr

Last: Passmore

Passmore didn't play last night so you assume he will only get mop-up minutes.

Coit and Storr should both get minutes, but Storr has to turn things around. Coit just isn't quite big enough.

I'm hoping Self will continue to go 9 deep depending on how Coit and Storr respond. But if he goes his usual 8-deep, then who wins the final spot?

Depth and Pace Create Margin of Error

And creating margin of error is arguably the most important component of any sport.

We played like hot garbage the entire first half but still managed to wear ASU out because we pushed the pace and played 9 guys 3+ minutes. Come midway through the second half they were dog ass tired as evidenced by their second half stats: 13 points, 12 turnovers, gave up 9 offense rebounds (only 2 for them), gave up 16 points off turnovers, and outscored 2-14 on fast break points.

I don't know how many more data points are needed to show that wearing down your opponent and creating attrition are so vital to basketball. They increase margin of error, and that allows you to win games without having to be at your best for a considerable chunk of a game. That, or play a team even for 80-90% of a game and still win the game by 10-15 points because of what happened in the other 10-20%.

The 2022 team is a great example of this - they were so great in transition and the depth was so well manufactured and because of this they won the national championship despite being average-to-awful in 50% of the Elite 8, Final Four, and Title games. All they needed was a 4-8 minute window to put a game out of reach and at any point in the game.

Confession time

Half time last night...I was planning to bail on the second half.

I just have not warmed up to this team and that seeming lack of effort and concentration in the first half...it just was not enjoyable or entertaining to watch. I pulled up Band of Brothers and was going to finish that off but said ok, let me just see how the half starts first.

I do not think of myself as a spoiled fan, I know how fortunate we have been and also have seen countless comebacks through the years, it is a good thing the players don't give up as easily as I was about to last night.

Fact remains, I am less enamored with sports in general and college sports and this team specifically than I have been in the past. I support market forces determining what someone is compensated but man it has changed things. Corporate greed is ill suited to art and entertainment...it tends to ruin what made them enjoyable to begin with.

Ok I am rambling...just wanted to admit that I was frustrated and had no fun watching this team in the first half...glad I stuck around for the second.
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