New Jersey and Virginia. Both states have shown a tendency to vote against the party in power at the White House. Most recent consensus polls in New Jersey shows the D with a shrinking 9% lead. Virginia is another matter - most recent consensus polls shows a tie with a trend toward the R Youngkin. D McCaulifee has blown a 10 point poll lead with a maybe all time stupid gaffe at a debate with Youngkin that parents have no business telling schools boards how to set curriculum. See 538 polls online for the latest credible consensus polling. Signs for 2022 and 2024 unclear, Tuesday might provide early clues.