Am bleary eyed from looking at polling numbers of what may happen in the election. Majorities of voters everywhere have called the economy their number one issue. Last minute polling trends tilt Republican. I don’t expect a red wave but do expect a 2023 Republican majority in the House - pickup up somewhere between 12-25 seats for them (213 is majority), more than enough to retake the House. The Senate is a dead heat with most recent credible polls trending Republican. I think control of the Senate is too close to call for sure but based on those recent trends, my guess is a 2023 Senate with 52 Republicans, a slim majority. All of this is based on a consolidated tabulation of credible polls, a snapshot in time. Anything is possible as voters have confounded polling in recent elections. Watch Virginia’s 2nd district House seat results for an early indicator of where the election is going. It is a competitive bellwether district for both parties. 40 million have already voted nationwide. Fire away.
