I may be an anomaly on this, but I actually don't think the night was as clear cut in favor of Trump as many think. People were talking before the night of Trump winning 10 of 11. He won 7. That is obviously fantastic and no amount of number splicing will diminish that, but it's not as 'door-shutting' as people are saying - at least in my opinion.
For starters, Trump didn't meet expectations. They were huge expectations, but he still fell short. Secondly, people who decided late in the process broke for Rubio. This shows the attacks that came from Rubio and Cruz stuck as people were falling away from Trump. If they keep it up for 2 more weeks, it's not hard to see Trump's numbers dropping much more. Thirdly, Trump lost Minnesota. Minnesota is a strange political state, but it can be seen as a harbinger for the challenges confronting Trump in more moderate states. Fourthly, Trump has to outright win the nomination. If he doesn't, he has to worry about how a brokered convention would play out. The establishment would bring out all the long knives at the convention to prevent Trump. Losing 4 states and not cleaning up in all of the ones he did win increases the likelihood of a brokered convention.
There is a good chance Trump will clean up in two weeks and this will all be moot. But if I were betting - and judging by what I saw yesterday - I think Trump will not end up the nominee for President.
For starters, Trump didn't meet expectations. They were huge expectations, but he still fell short. Secondly, people who decided late in the process broke for Rubio. This shows the attacks that came from Rubio and Cruz stuck as people were falling away from Trump. If they keep it up for 2 more weeks, it's not hard to see Trump's numbers dropping much more. Thirdly, Trump lost Minnesota. Minnesota is a strange political state, but it can be seen as a harbinger for the challenges confronting Trump in more moderate states. Fourthly, Trump has to outright win the nomination. If he doesn't, he has to worry about how a brokered convention would play out. The establishment would bring out all the long knives at the convention to prevent Trump. Losing 4 states and not cleaning up in all of the ones he did win increases the likelihood of a brokered convention.
There is a good chance Trump will clean up in two weeks and this will all be moot. But if I were betting - and judging by what I saw yesterday - I think Trump will not end up the nominee for President.
