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E Day One Week Out

RMHawk

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Aug 19, 2001
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Sioux Falls, SD
The anticipated Democrat blue wave looks to be receding.

The House. Reliable non agenda polls are suggesting to me that control of the House is still likely to change. But not by much. And there is now an outside chance that Republicans can cut their losses by enough to retain a razor thin majority. If the election were held today, I would guess 220-224 Democrats and 211-215 Republicans. The wild card in this is that most of the remaining toss up seats are held by Republicans.

The Senate. If the election were held today, I would guess that Republicans may gain 2 seats to increase their majority to 54-46. North Dakota will flip to Republican and Missouri now leans Republican in a still very close race. Watch Arizona, Inidiana, and Nevada next Tuesday night. All three are basically tied in the most recent polls, some from yesterday. Tennessee will likely stay Republican, as will Texas although Beto closed the gap on Cruz in the weekend polls. I don’t see much chance for a Democrat majority in the Senate. All the close races would have to go their way for that to happen.

I’m traveling the next several days but will try to put something together next Sunday night. One governor’s race is a major upset brewing - South Dakota has not elected a Democrat governor since 1974. It may do that next Tuesday as weekend polls show both candidates tied with very few undecided. Gawd, I love election seasons.
 
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